Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.003294 0.003455 0.003619 0.003799 0.003992 0.004192 0.004415
2025-06-01 0.003006 0.003245 0.003498 0.003787 0.004111 0.004462 0.004874
2025-06-08 0.002810 0.003091 0.003397 0.003757 0.004171 0.004635 0.005199
2025-06-15 0.002640 0.002946 0.003287 0.003697 0.004180 0.004735 0.005427
2025-06-22 0.002504 0.002829 0.003196 0.003647 0.004188 0.004825 0.005639
2025-06-29 0.002416 0.002760 0.003156 0.003649 0.004253 0.004978 0.005927
2025-07-06 0.002280 0.002628 0.003032 0.003542 0.004177 0.004952 0.005986
2025-07-13 0.002216 0.002576 0.003001 0.003545 0.004233 0.005087 0.006252
2025-07-20 0.002181 0.002558 0.003009 0.003594 0.004347 0.005299 0.006624
2025-07-27 0.002110 0.002493 0.002955 0.003562 0.004354 0.005370 0.006811
2025-08-03 0.002049 0.002438 0.002911 0.003540 0.004370 0.005452 0.007012
2025-08-10 0.001990 0.002382 0.002865 0.003512 0.004376 0.005519 0.007195
2025-08-17 0.001969 0.002376 0.002880 0.003566 0.004495 0.005744 0.007613
2025-08-24 0.001922 0.002333 0.002848 0.003555 0.004524 0.005847 0.007861
2025-08-31 0.001871 0.002283 0.002804 0.003527 0.004529 0.005913 0.008056
2025-09-07 0.001811 0.002221 0.002743 0.003471 0.004492 0.005919 0.008158
2025-09-14 0.001759 0.002167 0.002689 0.003425 0.004466 0.005937 0.008280
2025-09-21 0.001728 0.002140 0.002672 0.003427 0.004507 0.006054 0.008558
2025-09-28 0.001660 0.002062 0.002584 0.003329 0.004402 0.005949 0.008480
2025-10-05 0.001633 0.002039 0.002569 0.003332 0.004441 0.006062 0.008755
2025-10-12 0.001623 0.002038 0.002584 0.003377 0.004544 0.006275 0.009202
2025-10-19 0.001587 0.002001 0.002547 0.003348 0.004536 0.006315 0.009365
2025-10-26 0.001556 0.001968 0.002518 0.003327 0.004538 0.006372 0.009558